Trading the markets Technically

Thursday, February 16, 2006

Tata Motors Target Acheived!!!!!!!!

This was a great day for Tata Motors!!!!!!

Today Tata Motors opened @ 770.50 High : 810 Low : 768.05 & the Close : 800.10

Target of 810 was acheived today!!!!! Please see the past post : http://dynamictrading.blogspot.com/2006/02/tata-motors-possible-elliott-wave.html which was on Feb 8th, 2006. Please see the attached chart for more details:

Wednesday, February 15, 2006

BSE Metal Index - Support @ 6887

Bse Metal Index has a good support @ 6887 also made a double top, though not a perfect one!!!!! Still it can be safely said to be a double top. A real test is @ 6887, it will be a make or break kind of a situation.
  • Double top
  • Support @ 6887

Rising Wedge in Sensex & Nifty?

A PICTURE IS WORTH A THOUSAND WORDS - JAPANESE SAYING!!!!!!

Southern Iron

Southern Iron is making a falling WEDGE on the daily charts. On monthly charts the retracement works out to Rs 13 which is 0.618 of the range from Rs 2.15 to the top of Rs 32.50, which is also near the lower trendline of the falling Wedge. Good long term investment around Rs 13.00 Please check the chart for more details.

Sunday, February 12, 2006

What is RPS:- RELATIVE PRICE STRENGTH?

What is RPS or RSC?

In very basic terms, RPS is a top down stock selection method. Stocks from different sectors expected to outperform the rest of the market are identified, and then stocks from these sectors are selected. The belief is that if you can select securities in superior sectors, these securities will perform along with their respective sectors. This follows the truth that money flows from underperforming areas of the market, to more profitable areas.

The best way to compare the strength of one security against a market index is to use the Relative Strength Comparison (RSC). The RSC actually compares a security's price change with that of a "base" or benchmark security. (in this case the SENSEX)

• If the RSC is increasing, it indicates that the security is performing better than the base security.

• If it moves sideways, it indicates that both securities are performing the same.

• If it is decreasing, it indicates that the security is performing worse than the base security.

It is important to note that just because the RSC may be rising in value, doesn’t mean the security is necessarily rising in value too. It simply indicates that the security is performing better than the base security. For example, a security may be falling in price however it may not be falling as fast as the base security, the result being that the RSC would strengthen. Conversely, if the RSC is falling the security may not be reducing in value; instead it may be that it’s increasing at a slower rate than the base security.

Interpretation of the results:

Interpreting the results is easy: a value greater than zero indicates that the market sector is outperforming the base index. A zero indicates that the market sector is performing on par with the base index, while a negative number indicates the market sector is underperforming the base index.

Remember a rising RSC value only indicates that the market sector is outperforming the base index. Sometimes if the RSC is rising in value, so too is the market sector. However, this isn’t always the case. Similarly, if the RSC is falling the market sector may not be reducing in value; it only indicates that it is underperforming the market index. This illustrates how important it is to also open the chart of the market sectors to analyse the trend.

To sum it up:

The RSC is a great way to utilise the power for Trading. Furthermore, it can be an extremely effective tool in identifying profitable trading opportunities. The downside for this type of system is that it is not a complete on its own and would need to be combined with other entry, exit and money management rules.

The potential is there however to create a very solid trading system that includes sector analysis.

RPS for the Week ended 10/02/2006

NAME CLOSE % RISE TICKER
Artefact Softwar 66.5 82.9732 531297
Fortune Financial Services 73.1 57.1017 530023
Starmax Infomedia ltd. 139.45 55.6639 532342
Pratappur Sugar 150.65 54.1188 507500
ANG Exports Ltd. 220.05 54.1067 530721
Nesco Ltd 1590.65 52.5627 505355
Guj.Investa Ltd 17.1 52.1157 531341
Anant Raj Inds. 505.05 51.0267 515055
RIDHI SIDHI 196.15 50.9847 524480
JOSTS ENG CO 300.05 49.7807 505750
ZENITH INFO 120.7 48.2434 532298
Lakshmi Overs.In 735.45 45.1132 519570
Himadri Chem.&I 151.25 44.2737 500184
Eastern Silk In 120.7 43.1999 514246
Vaspar Cont. 83.9 43.0332 530063
Flexo Film Wrap 39.7 42.9092 507796
DS Kulkarni Ltd 285.25 41.9074 523890
B F UTILITY 750.75 40.8617 532430
SANGHI MOVERS 652.4 40.6854 530073
Zenith Computer 89.45 40.3058 517164
SHAKTI MET-D 188 40.1329 526510
Kamat Hotels (I) 210.05 38.4127 526668
Siyaram Silk Lt 562.5 37.3379 503811
SHILPA MEDIC 390 36.9109 530549
Unitech Ltd 1420.05 36.3192 507878
Voltas Ltd. 805.35 35.849 500575
Rel.Inds.Infra 453.2 35.7809 523445
Gestetner(India 298.95 33.4841 509698
Indo Asian Fuse 126.7 33.1214 517318
Pennar Profiles 57.35 32.9123 513309
Paramount Commu. 165.2 32.8126 530555
TAJ GVK HOTELS 236.75 32.3542 532390
Arun Agro Prod. 145 32.2492 531777
Patel Engg 433.8 32.0176 531120
ABG Heavy Ind. 326.15 32.0129 520155
Jyoti Ltd 127.35 31.2346 504076
Kei Indust. 320 30.493 517569
Jindal Iron 427.4 30.4296 500107
Gemini Communications Ltd 295.7 30.2368 532318
TECHNO ELEC 217.7 29.8018 505397
Greenply Indus 118.95 29.6145 526797
Bharat Earth Mo 1444.8 29.2092 500048
Balrampur Chini 153.9 28.7584 500038
Cubex Tubing 53.05 27.3123 526027
IL & FS Investment Managers Ltd 179.85 27.0743 511208
Ceekay Daikin 148.65 26.9704 505923
Kemrock Ind. Ltd 94.45 26.391 526015
Manugraph India Ltd 282.55 25.8808 505324
Dalmia Cement(Bh 242 25.7838 500097
Ansal Propertie 443.2 25.3991 500013

Volume Movers for the past Week ended 10/02/2006

NAME Volume Pre-Volume % Rise in Vol Close Pre-Close TICKER
Jayashree Tea 5899056 128722 97.8179 165.35 105.75 509715
Warren Tea Ltd 886457 22062 97.5112 120.55 87.2 508494
William Magor 2160294 57107 97.3565 71.5 41.8 519224
Marathon Nextgen Realty & Text 12300 500 95.935 261.25 248.85 503101
Sam Industries 4404 200 95.4587 17.05 16.9 532005
Harr. Malayalam 7440718 409271 94.4996 152.45 109.25 500467
CRISIL Ltd 20622 1217 94.0985 1549.55 1525 500092
Gammon India Lt 4302484 301455 92.9935 519.6 516.25 509550
Aban Loyd Chile 803011 58375 92.7305 833.4 596.7 523204
Wallfort Fincl. 12676 1084 91.4484 34.5 23.7 532053
Pudumjee Agro 91754 7958 91.3268 39.05 30.5 516092
CIL Securits Ltd 31105 3414 89.0243 13.12 12 530829
B & A Ltd. 144784 15907 89.0133 43.8 38.2 508136
Videocon Applia 2077048 267396 87.1262 32.65 27.05 500945
WOOLITE MERC 210216 28080 86.6423 21.1 20.75 512217
NRB Bearings 94605 12645 86.6339 502.8 446 530367
SIC Agency Ltd 250585 33774 86.5219 443.25 438.75 520086
Goetze (India) 290855 40787 85.9769 232.3 208.85 505744
SAHARA I MEDIA COMM 14378 2017 85.9716 290 287 503691
Indo Asian Fianc 7598 1099 85.5357 15.53 14.99 530747
Perfect Circle 177470 29808 83.2039 28.05 22.05 505789
POLYCON INTE 521 90 82.7255 14.7 13.95 531397
Benares Hotels 11125 2009 81.9416 373.8 365 509438
Jubilant Organosys Ltd. 145918 26508 81.8336 1082.8 1073.85 530019
Raghav Industries Ltd 8633 1624 81.1885 30.3 25 526465
Ruchi Soya Inds 2186104 424006 80.6045 317.85 283.05 500368
Gandhi Special 174009 33989 80.4671 159.7 150.6 513108
Maha. Ind 250 50 80 68.85 66.3 505523
MRF Ltd 42027 8452 79.8891 3262.25 2800 500290
JCT Ltd 19437472 3938971 79.7352 13.08 11.77 500223
Zuari Indus.Ltd 734973 151667 79.3643 156.6 136.2 500780
Sharyans Resour 302030 63434 78.9975 186.35 155.4 511413
Philips Carbon 625053 132634 78.7804 72.25 61.4 506590
SEIL Limited 1081500 233757 78.3859 56.5 56.1 523371
SOUTH INDIA BANK 1030022 229904 77.6797 71.05 67.8 532218
INDO GREEN P 192530 43540 77.3853 23.2 19.1 531968
Multi Arc india 324870 76206 76.5426 87.5 84.15 513685
GALAXY MULTI 236789 55769 76.4478 16.44 13.6 532380
Jayant Agro 256347 61382 76.0551 180.65 165.05 524330
BIO PACK INDIA 56780 13657 75.9475 35.8 26.2 532230
SOUTHERN PETRO 14221941 3433430 75.8582 15.6 13.54 500758
Sintex Inds. Ltd 443905 110367 75.1372 171.85 162.1 502742
Suryajyoti Spg. 574526 142918 75.1242 41.85 33.1 521022
Glofame Cotspin Industries Ltd. 140183 34983 75.0448 37.65 33.35 532472
Ledo Tea Compan 83510 20848 75.0353 67.35 48.65 508306